A Study of the Fluctuation Density in Stock Market of China Based on the Time Feature
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摘要: 本文分析了金融市场波动性特征的组成,提出了波动性应该包括密度特征的观点。以自回归条件久期模型(ACD)为基础,选择标志我国股市波动性密度特征的代理变量,建立了刻划该特征的理论模型,检验了我国上海证券交易所个股的交易过程中波动密度的问题。实证结果表明,我国证券市场交易过程中波动的密集性是由于以私人信息为基础的信息交易引起的,私人信息的引入导致丁证券市场在时间方向表现出更大的波动性Abstract: Composition of fluctuation in financial market is analyzed and the view that fluctuation should comprise density characteristic is raised. On the basis of autoregressive conditional duration model and representative variables denoting the density characteristic in China stock market, theoretical models depicting the characteristic are built up and the density of fluctuation of individual stock in the course of transaction in Shanghai Stock Market is tested. The research results indicate that the transaction clustering is caused by the imformation trading which is based on private information.The introduction of private information leads to a higher fluctuation in the direction of time in Chinese stock market.
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Key words:
- duration /
- ACD model /
- fluctation density feature
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